5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday
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Happy Thursday. My spin class soundtrack of mainly Kesha’s music last night was more evidence that the 2016 aesthetic is back.
Stock futures are lower this morning. The three major indexes are coming off a winning session.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. Price cut
A Walmart store is seen on February 03, 2026 in Austin, Texas.
Brandon Bell | Getty Images
Shares of Walmart slid more than 2% in premarket trading this morning after the company’s guidance for the current fiscal year came in softer than anticipated.
Here’s what to know:
- The nation’s largest grocer and private employer narrowly exceeded Wall Street’s expectations on both lines for the fourth quarter.
- Walmart said to expect adjusted earnings per share for the full fiscal year between $2.75 and $2.85, below Wall Street’s forecast of $2.96 per share.
- As CNBC’s Melissa Repko reports, the results come as investors focus on Walmart’s future under new CEO John Furner, who took the helm earlier this month.
- Walmart’s stock has been on a big run: Shares have risen more than 21% over the last 12 months and nearly 175% in the last half decade. Earlier this month, the company hit $1 trillion in market cap.
- Fellow retailer Wayfair also reported results this morning, posting its first annual sales gain since 2020.
- Meanwhile Etsy climbed even higher before the bell after beating Wall Street’s fourth-quarter earnings expectations. Etsy shares were already up double digits in extended trading after the e-commerce platform said yesterday that it is selling clothing resale service Depop to eBay.
- Follow live markets updates here.
2. Fortune teller
U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on interest rate policy, in Washington, D.C., U.S., Jan. 28, 2026.
Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting released yesterday showed officials largely approved of holding interest rates steady. However, there was notable division within the central bank on where monetary policy should go next.
As CNBC’s Jeff Cox reports, some Fed members said interest rates could come down further if inflation slides as they expect it to. Others said such easing may not be necessary for some time while they await clear signs that disinflation is taking place.
Speaking of the central bank: White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett told CNBC yesterday that the authors of a recent New York Fed paper should be “disciplined.” Hassett said the study, which found that U.S. companies and consumers are absorbing most of the impacts from President Donald Trump’s tariffs, was “the worst paper I’ve ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve system.”
3. Tough pill to swallow
U.S. Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Marty Makary speaks during a press conference at the Department of Health and Human Services in Washington, D.C., U.S., Nov. 10, 2025.
Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters
Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Marty Makary warned yesterday that U.S. is falling behind China on early-stage drug development, saying the U.S. should streamline the process for beginning trials on new treatments.
In an interview with CNBC’s Annika Kim Constantino, Makary also said that all drugs “should be over the counter” — with the exception of those that are unsafe, addictive or require monitoring. Some in the pharmaceutical industry have raised doubts about the effectiveness of such a move, warning that it could increase costs and decrease access for patients.
Meanwhile, Moderna said yesterday that the FDA agreed to review its experimental mRNA flu shot — a reversal from the regulator’s prior refusal of the application. Moderna’s shares jumped around 6% in yesterday’s session following the announcement.
4. CaseBook
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg arrives at Los Angeles Superior Court on Feb. 18, 2026.
Jill Connelly | Getty Images
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg took the stand yesterday in a landmark trial on social media and safety. As CNBC’s Jonathan Vanian and Samantha Subin note, the Los Angeles trial is just one of several major court cases that are together being described as the social media industry’s “Big Tobacco” moment.
In his testimony, Zuckerberg said that increasing users’ time spent on Instagram was never a company goal, despite an email he sent in 2015 that seemed to make improving engagement a critical issue for the company. The Facebook founder also said he approached Apple CEO Tim Cook to talk about the “wellbeing of teens and kids.”
Members of Zuckerberg’s team were seen entering the courthouse wearing Meta’s Ray-Ban artificial intelligence glasses, but Judge Carolyn B. Kuhl later threatened to hold anyone using smart glasses during the CEO’s testimony in contempt of court. “If you have done that, you must delete that, or you will be held in contempt of the court,” Kuhl said.
5. The points game
A United Express plane sits at a gate of Chicago O’Hare International Airport in the northwest side of Chicago, Illinois on Jan. 15, 2026.
Daniel Slim | AFP | Getty Images
If you’re flying United Airlines, you may soon earn fewer miles — unless you have one of the air carrier’s credit cards.
United said Thursday that it will no longer reward customers flying basic economy who don’t have the airline’s credit card, following in the footsteps of American Airlines and Delta Air Lines. Card-holding travelers, meanwhile, will earn more points and receive frequent flyer discounts.
As CNBC’s Leslie Josephs reports, the airline’s changes mark some of the biggest adjustments to its frequent flyer program in more than a decade.
The Daily Dividend
The Supreme Court could rule as soon as this week on Trump’s tariffs. But as CNBC’s Gabrielle Fonrouge and Natalie Rice report, the furniture industry likely won’t be sitting pretty, regardless of the court’s decision.
— CNBC’s Melissa Repko, Annie Palmer, Jeff Cox, Annika Kim Constantino, Samantha Subin, Jonathan Vanian, Leslie Josephs, Gabrielle Fonrouge and Natalie Rice contributed to this report. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.
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