Why the timing of Apple’s CEO change could mean a good earnings report is around the corner
The timing of Tim Cook’s departure from Apple spells good things for the company’s fiscal second-quarter earnings report, set to be released on April 30, Wall Street analysts are buzzing. Apple announced Monday that Cook is stepping aside to become executive chairman and that Apple’s senior vice president of hardware engineering John Ternus will take the reins as CEO effective Sept. 1. Announcements on leadership changes are always sensitive matters for companies, so the fact that Apple’s torch-passing is happening about a week out from earnings is suggesting to analysts that the company may have some good news on the horizon. “My gut tells me this was announced before earnings so we can focus on a great quarter with strong fundamentals next week when Apple reports,” Ben Reitzes, head of technology research at Melius, wrote in a Monday note to investors. “Cook was CEO a long time and likely wants to leave on a high note.” Analysts for Bank of America had much the same intuition on Monday about near-term performance. “Near-term results are extremely resilient given that Apple will likely plan such changes from a position of strong business momentum,” Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan and colleagues wrote in a Monday note to investors. The consensus estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is $1.94 with a revenue of $109.35 billion, according to FactSet. The average rating on the stock, comprising 54 analysts estimates, is overweight, with a target estimate of $301.62. Apple shares were down slightly on Tuesday following the announcement with shares hovering around the flatline the year. Gil Luria, head of technology research at DA Davidson, made a similar argument about the timing of Cook’s departure. “Tim Cook wouldn’t be retiring at a time of crisis,” he said. “He has an opportunity to walk away at a time with record iPhone sales and significant growth, a good upgrade year and a nice road map ahead.” In the longer term, Street analysts are asking whether Ternus’ appointment could be a sign that Apple will refocus on hardware and products over services. “A product-oriented leader with years of deep experience in Apple’s hardware design suggests we might be entering a new era of devices (AI-enabled, wearable form factors including AR glasses, smart home devices),” Bank of America’s Mohan wrote. ” 2027 could be a big product year (20th anniversary of iPhone).”
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