2026 World Cup Quarterfinal Odds: Who Will Make the Round of 16??

After the World Cup group stage, things go from intense to do-or-die. 

In other words, welcome to the Round of 16, the first round in which a single loss means elimination from the tournament. 

Let’s check out the odds for which countries will make it to the Round of 16 at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 1.

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To Reach Round of 16

France: -450
Spain: -390
England: -350
Brazil: -280
Portugal: -270
Germany: -270
Belgium: -250
Argentina: -200
Switzerland: -165
Mexico: -155
Netherlands: -145
USA: -130
Norway: -130
Colombia: -120
Canada: +105
Türkiye: +115
Ecuador: +115
Morocco: +125
Croatia: +130
Uruguay: +130
Ivory Coast: +160
Egypt: +180
Japan: +180

Here’s what to know about this oddsboard.

The Favorites: France and Spain are favored to win the tournament, making them heavy favorites to at least reach the first round of the knockout stage. In 2014, France made it to the quarterfinals, followed by a championship in 2018 and a runner-up finish in 2022. The last time it failed to make it out of the group stage was back in 2010. For Spain, it lost in the Round of 16 in both 2022 and 2018, and failed to make it out of the group stage in 2014, after winning the World Cup in 2010.

The Host Nations: Each of the three host nations — Mexico (10th on the oddsboard), the USA (12th) and Canada (15th) — are expected to make it out of group play, into the Round of 16. Mexico has a familiar relationship with the round of 16, having lost in that round every tournament from 1994 to 2018 — seven straight tournaments. In 2022, Mexico didn’t make it out of group play. As for the USA, it made the Round of 16 in 2022, did not qualify for the tournament in 2018, and made the Round of 16 in 2014. Lastly, Canada has never made it to the Round of 16 in the World Cup.