5 things to know before the stock market opens Monday
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Good morning. Struggling to find a a job? You might want to look in Nevada. The Silver State saw its workforce grow by 1.9% between April 2025 and April 2026 — the highest of any U.S. state.
Stock futures are higher this morning. The three major indexes are coming off a winning week.
Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:
1. Deal progress
U.S. Vice President JD Vance (L) speaks next to Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (C) and Qatar’s Prime Minister and Minister for Foreign Affairs Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al-Thani at the start of a quadrilateral meeting between the U.S., Iran, Pakistan and Qatar at the Burgenstock luxury hotel complex overlooking Lake Lucerne, Switzerland, on June 21, 2026, as part of high-level talks aimed at advancing a deal to end the Middle East conflict.
Fabrice Coffrini | Afp | Getty Images
The U.S. and Iran made “encouraging progress” toward a final deal within 60 days, mediators Qatar and Pakistan said Monday following negotiations in Switzerland. The agreed-upon roadmap includes efforts to end hostilities in Lebanon, and the parties agreed to create a “High Level Committee” to oversee further negotiations.
Here’s what to know:
- Progress towards a final deal came even as President Donald Trump threatened to “hit Iran very hard again” if Tehran didn’t “stop their highly paid PROXIES in Lebanon from causing trouble.”
- Speaking from Switzerland this morning, Vice President JD Vance said Iran agreed to permit inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency back into the country.
- Oil tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz ramped up after the U.S. and Iran began reopening the shipping lane last week, but Iran on Saturday said the passageway was closed again in response to Israeli strikes in Lebanon.
- Oil prices are lower this morning after mediators said the U.S. and Iran had agreed on a roadmap for reaching a final deal.
- Follow live market updates here.
2. Greenspan dies at 100
Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve chairman.
Adam Jeffery | CNBC
Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan died from complications of Parkinson’s Disease, his wife said Monday. He was 100.
In his 19-year tenure as the central bank’s leader, Greenspan captained the Fed through the 1987 “Black Monday” market crash, two recessions, the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and the dot-com boom and bust. The so-called “Maestro” famously shocked markets in 1996 with a warning of investors’ “irrational exuberance,” but the bubble didn’t burst until five years later.
Read Greenspan’s full obituary here.
3. Starmer resigns
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaves Downing Street on February 02, 2026 in London, United Kingdom.
Alishia Abodunde | Getty Images News | Getty Images
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced this morning that he will resign as Labour leader and prime minister. The announcement — made by Starmer in a statement outside 10 Downing Street — follows Labour’s poor performance in recent local elections, as well as months of intra-party turmoil over fiscal policy, welfare reforms and Starmer’s appointment of an associate of Jeffrey Epstein.
Starmer’s successor will be the U.K.’s seventh prime minister in the nearly 10 years since the country voted to leave the European Union. Following his special election win last week, Labour’s former Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham confirmed Monday that he would put himself forward for the party’s leadership. Starmer said he would remain in his role until his successor is formally chosen.
4. Taking to task
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh conducts a news conference after a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday, June 17, 2026.
Tom Williams | CQ-Roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images
Fed watchers got their first glimpse of a policy meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh last week. As CNBC’s Jeff Cox writes, Warsh introduced his plans for regime change at the central bank with a much softer touch than anticipated.
While Fed followers see Warsh’s task forces as an ambitious campaign to reevaluate nearly every part of the Fed’s policy-setting process, the harsh language the chairman previously used to describe the Fed was largely absent from his remarks last week.
The central bank, along with investors, will closely monitor May’s core personal consumption expenditures report on Thursday, which got even more important following last week’s Fed meeting.
5. To infinity
Still from Pixar’s “Toy Story 5.”
Disney
Disney and Pixar’s “Toy Story 5” brought in $160 million in the U.S. during its opening weekend. As CNBC’s Sarah Whitten reports, that marks the biggest debut ever for the “Toy Story” franchise.
The movie also notched the second-highest debut for an animated feature, trailing “Incredibles 2,” which raked in more than $182 million in its 2018 opening.
About 11.5 million theatergoers saw the movie over the weekend, according to EntTelligence. More than a quarter of the total audience splurged for premium large-format screenings that can carry steeper price tags.
The Daily Dividend
Here’s what we’re monitoring this week:
- Tuesday: FedEx earnings (after the bell)
- Wednesday: Micron earnings (after the bell)
- Thursday: Darden Restaurants earnings (after the bell), personal consumption expenditure data for May
- Friday: Consumer sentiment data for June
— CNBC’s Anniek Bao, Spencer Kimball, Yun Li, Sean Conlon, Hugh Leask, Marty Steinberg, Jeff Cox, Sarah Min and Sarah Whitten contributed to this report. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.
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